In a research note today, it said the target price was unchanged, pending the widely expected announcement of a corporate exercise today involving UEM Land Holdings Bhd.
ECM Libra reduced its numbers for the financial year 2011 to 2013 taking into account, retention of some units from future launches, for the operation of serviced apartments.
"But this will be offset by recognition of Quintet - residential project in Richmond, Canada - earnings on percentage completion basis at group level instead of at unit level.
"Despite our above consensus numbers, we still expect Sunrise to post record earnings in financial year 2011, backed by strong sales and unrecognised revenue," ECM Libra said.
Sunrise launched the phase one of Quintet with a gross development value (GDV) of RM374 million on Sept 28 and the project is sold-out as of to date.
Phase two with a GDV of RM825 million will be launched in the first quarter next year.
Meanwhile, Menara Solaris with a GDV of RM480 million is expected to be launched within the next three weeks.
During the first quarter financial year 2011, property sales of about RM100 million was achieved, but this does not include RM351 million sales from Quintet achieved in Oct 2010.
Unrecognised revenue remains flattish quarter-on-quarter at RM864 million but would swell to RM1.2 billion in Oct 2010, ECM Libra said.
OSK Research, meanwhile, said it is maintaining a "buy" call on Sunrise but downgraded the target price to RM4.33 from RM4.62 previously.
This was due to the unexpected interim dividend surprise of 26.67 sen as well as some changes to its forecast assumptions on the Quintet.
OSK Research is upgrading Sunrise's financial year 2011 and 2012 earnings upwards by 5.6 per cent and 12.1 per cent respectively.
The management has been guided that earnings from the Quintet, including phase two, would be recognised on a progress billing basis.
Although Sunrise's first quarter financial year 2011 turnover fell by 10 per cent year-on-year, net profit dipped by a mere two per cent as progress billings from its recently launched high-margin projects, such as 11 Mont Kiara and 28 Mont Kiara, picked up momentum.
On the other hand, quarter-on-quarter turnover surged 32 per cent but net profit dropped five per cent on higher expenses incurred on commencement of its Canadian project.
Sunrise's latest unbilled sales totaled RM1.22 billion amounting to 2.1 times of financial year 2010 total turnover.
By Bernama
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